FINDING ALTERNATIVE FUNDING FOR THE ONE FAMILY HEALTH INITIATIVE

 Chelsea Swanson and Caesar Lubanga-kene

The One Family Health (OFH) model is a phenomenal response to the health care worker shortage which is a perpetual challenge to the health care system of Rwanda. The model is well-thought out, effective, and requires comprehensive cooperation from a number of players both in the private and public sector both locally and internationally. OFH has adapted its practices to offer healthcare under the Mutuelle insurance, obtain essential technologies like Lifesense, and train its employees in quality treatments and additional skills like human resource, financial and supply chain management, while offering a sustainable plan.

However, despite all of these progressive and impressive qualities, OFH may be on the verge of a downward spiral. The recent withdrawal of Glaxo Smith Kline (GSK) a major partner from the financial support of the model is calling into question whether OFH can continue to be an effective player in the health care worker shortage and continue operations to improve health in Rwanda.

GSK, as the main funder, was a backbone for the OFH model. It gave the Rwandan government and local banks faith in the program. The loss of GSK as a funder may mean the loss of faith from the local government and local banks that deemed loans to the local enterprise to risky to provide loans a gap that GSK had well covered. It is a domino effect that is in urgent need of saving.

But how?

First we ask why GSK dropped out? Well, according to them, they felt the risk was too high, and that they would lose more than they gained. Next we ask what could have been done differently when recruiting and obtaining funders for the program?

Here is where some of the problem solving can begin. The back bone is made up of vertebrae, but with GSK as the backbone funder to OFH, there is no smaller vertebra to fall back on. By starting out with more investors and venture capitalists, the likelihood of failure due to one investor pulling out is much smaller.  There are many investors willing to invest small sums and if pooled this could incrementally fill the enormous funding gap left by GSK.

Another potential solution would be a government intervention through a co-operative incentive scheme. This would be where the government offers money to a group of health clinics at once. The goal of OFH would be to recruit and stratify the health clinics, possibly by geographic location like a district, and conform them into an association that the government can support financially. While governments in Africa have limited funds, the successes of the OFH model in strengthening the health system, demonstrates both the need and worth of funding.

This might also be a productive way to gain local support for the health clinics within each community. The combination of social support and accountability make it harder to misuse the money from the government to the association other than individuals.  

In sum, OFH still has time to find funders and hopefully get back on its feet in the wake of GSK’s exit. Government support and a multitude of smaller private investors are two potential solutions to the problem in order to sustain the model of OFH keeping its public private partnership goodwill while maintaining a source of health care workers and supply providing quality health care for the people of Rwanda. 

Picture: Rwandan health workers preparing for a ward round.

Source: www.mhtf.org

Medical Technology in Global Health

by Denali Dahl and Rosa Castro

In his engaging presentation last Tuesday, Dr. Robert Malkin introduced us to a shocking reality: most of the medical equipment donated to the developing world ends up being a burden. Donors might have good or bad intentions but the reality is that most donations are ineffective, troublesome, and often cause more harm than good.

The accumulation of ineffective technology in low and middle income countries is due to the lack of spare parts and the technical knowledge, which lead to an inability to repair or maintain the donated medical equipment. Without the capacity to fix technical equipment, the devices intended to improve access to quality medical care end up “parked” in a hospital, taking away space rather than helping anybody.

Donors are more excited to donate different pieces of equipment rather than fundraising to provide spare parts or money to maintain the medical equipment they have dumped in another country. This fundamental flaw in the system must be addressed for donations to become sustainable solutions that have provide long-term improvement.

3D printing technology has the potential to create new materials and parts on large and small scales with a wide variety of applications, a concept that has revolutionized the engineering world. The question becomes, can 3D printing extend beyond the laboratories and be applied to improve the donated medical equipment problem?

3D printing can generate spare parts and consumables without having access to large-scale manufacturing facilities. With thousands of pre-programmed designs at hand, using a 3D printer is becoming more user friendly everyday. All the user has to do is load their material--usually a plastic polymer--select design specifications, and watch while their creation comes to life.

Technology like 3D printers has the potential to provide low and middle income communities with ways to build products for themselves, especially small parts to repair the larger medical equipment constantly being donated. In Haiti, 3D printerswere recently used to help Haitians build their own umbilical cord clamps. The ability to 3D print the necessary items empowers hospitals and clinics by giving them a tool to become more independent, instead of having to rely on donors or the government to provide everything.  

Image credit: Makezine.com

The main drawback is, what happens when the 3D printers break and need their own spare parts? Would donating 3D printers along with medical equipment be helpful or harmful? Would the 3D printers be another sophisticated device “littering” the developing world? 

Source: http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/medical-equipment-donated-developing-nations-junk-heap/

3D printers have the potential to alleviate the disparity between having and using medical equipment, but to be effective technology in any form must be donated in a sustainable manner to ensure long-term benefits to the selected communities. 

Filling Healthcare Gaps with Tumeric and Mushrooms?

by Matt Boyce

After our lecture from traditional medicine experts Dr. Boyd and Dr. Stanifer last Thursday there were two points that really resonated with me:

(1) That traditional medicine places a special emphasis on the difference between being cured and being ill.

(2) That traditional medicine should be viewed as a tool in a multi-disciplinary health arsenal, not an alternative to modern medicine.

Keeping these things in mind, it seems, to me at least, that there is a very clear and practical role for traditional medicine in current treatment practices. And after spending some time trying to wrap my head around an example of where I saw an application of traditional medicine in this way, I finally settled on a current event...

Does the name Martin Shkreli ring any bells? Yes, of course it does. Just last month he raised the price of Daraprim, a 62 year old medication commonly used to treat parasitic infections in immunocomprimised patients, from $13.50 a pill to $750 a pill. And in doing so became the Scrooge of the pharmaceutical industry by hoarding wealth and exploiting the poor, drawing condemnation of humanitarians, politicians, and pretty much anyone with a moral compass and internet access.

Meanwhile, another pharmaceutical competitor has stepped up to challenge him, announcing that it will now offer a version of Daraprim for as little as $1 per tablet. But what if there were other alternatives? Enter traditional medicine.

Ok, before I lose you, I do recognize that’s a bit dramatic. I’m not about to argue that traditional medicine should replace a highly effective drug. The development of modern medicine, that is the development of antibiotics and vaccines, is one of the most important scientific developments ever. However, I do feel that “Traditional Medicine: Novel Treatment for AIDS and Cancer Patients” would make one hell of a newspaper headline, and that there is a place for traditional medicine in our current Daraprim predicament.

Let’s begin with focusing on turmeric, one of the first few examples of traditional medicine that was presented to us. As alluded to in our lecture, turmeric may be one of the most beneficial spices in the world, owing largely to the fact that it contains a compound called curcumin. Curcumin has many health benefits, including promoting brain function, protecting against depression, and delaying aging (all of which I hope we can all agree would promote a “sense of overall wellness”). But quite possibly the most important benefit is it’s potent natural anti-inflammatory attributes. While acute inflammation is great and all, as it helps fight pathogens and helps repairs damage, chronic inflammation has been shown to be really bad for our bodies. So bad that some researchers believe it may play a role in heart disease, cancer, metabolic diseases, and a handful of other chronic, Western diseases. As such, any compound that can suppress chronic inflammation, including turmeric, may be viewed as a potential therapy or even prevention of disease, which also happens to be what cancer researchers have to say about the spice.

To shift our attention to another example of traditional medicine, let’s focus on mushrooms. Mushrooms, especially shitake and button varieties, are excellent sources of vitamin D. And why exactly is consuming vitamin D so great? Because while our bodies naturally produce it when exposed to sunlight, many of us are still deficient in vitamin D levels. This could pose a problem, or at least warrant concern, as vitamin D has been shown to help prevent chronic illness, and also helps regulate cellular growth, reduce systemic inflammation, and fight a whole slew of infectious diseases.

The micronutrient’s therapeutic properties have long been recognized, and some recent studies even go as far as to allude to antibiotic like properties being associated with it. In fact, in the pre-antibiotic era, physicians realized that both sun exposure and cod oil could play a protective and therapeutic role against TB. And while the two treatments have their obvious differences they have one thing in common: active forms of vitamin D. So I’ll propose the following question: is it really that far of a stretch of the imagination to think that vitamin D could also help prevent or treat illness in these immunocompromised individuals?

While I personally do not believe that making sure to eat mushrooms sprinkled with turmeric is remotely close to a means to replace treatment by Daraprim in these patients, I don’t think it could hurt to at least acknowledge the health benefits that may be achieved by incorporating these traditional medicinal foods into their diets. Especially if we put the time and resources into understanding the metabolic pathways that underlie their therapeutic properties.

So, to offer a brief summary of what we’ve covered here: We first established that Shkreli is a goon who has put a lot of people in a bad situation. Next, tumeric, in addition to promoting a general sense of wellness may play a role in decreasing the risk of disease and decreasing the risk or progression of cancer, one of the immunocompromised populations that frequently uses Daraprim. We followed that up by covering that mushrooms containing vitamin D could act as a potential therapy to counter infection, much as Daraprim is used as a therapy to counter parasitic infection. Ultimately, combine the two (in the albeit oversimplified scenario I just presented) and you get a one-two punch that could compliment other therapies, or help fill the gaps left by the actions of Shkreli.

Farming for Child Health: A Pilot Project to End Hunger in Hospitals

by Emily Esmaili

The Ministry of Health of Rwanda recognizes the persistent problem of child malnutrition and its contribution to child morbidity and mortality. As such, it has put into place the National Food and Nutrition Strategic Plan (2013-2018), which aims to eliminate malnutrition in every district in the country. Huye District (Butare) is one with higher levels of poverty and food scarcity than other districts: The Integrated Household Living Conditions Survey (EICV4) carried out in 2013-2014 indicates that Huye district is 8^th poorest among the 30 districts in the country (with 32.5% of the population considered as ‘poor’ and 5.7% as ‘extremely poor’). Along with widespread poverty, Huye has exceptionally high rates of child malnutrition and stunting as compared with other districts. It happens that this district also houses the country’s largest university and medical school, as well as one of the largest teaching hospitals.

Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Butare (CHUB) is the main referral hospital for southern and western districts in Rwanda, as well as one of the two main teaching hospitals in Rwanda. I was stationed at CHUB from February 2014—August 2015, working as Pediatrics Faculty with Yale University and Rwanda Ministry of Health, through a program called Human Resources for Health. Due to the aforementioned high rates of poverty in our catchment area, the majority of our patients were not only malnourished, but also could not afford sufficient food during their hospitalization, which (predictably) hindered their ability to recover and cope with their illnesses. Despite providing the best medical care we could, patients could not meet basic daily nutritional requirements and therefore often had prolonged hospitalizations and difficult hospital experiences.

Children are especially vulnerable to the long-term impacts of malnutrition. Poor neurodevelopmental outcomes are closely linked to early nutrition—starting in the womb. On our wards, manifestations of malnutrition ranged from frustratingly slow recovery from basic childhood illnesses such as pneumonia, to more chronic cases of rickets, to wasting in premature babies from inadequate breast milk (because mothers were themselves too malnourished to produce milk, and could not afford formula).  Treating children, and teaching students and residents about pediatric medicine, was exceptionally challenging when such basic needs were not being met.

Overview, Goals, and Objectives

In response to this dire situation, we developed a nutrition program to address nutritional needs in a comprehensive and sustainable way, through a program originally called Farming for Child Health (F4CH). This multi-component program involves providing food for malnourished pediatric patients, breastfeeding mothers, and now surgery patients as well; growing crops and livestock to supply some of the food; and family education about sustainable farming, hygienic food preparation, and healthy, affordable nutrition.  The program officially began in May 2015, and owing to its huge success, is now expanding to include patients in Internal Medicine and Obstetrics and Gynecology wards as well. Our ultimate goal is to replicate the program in hospitals throughout Rwanda, pushing towards the goal of eliminating malnutrition through education and self-sustainable agriculture.

Program Details

F4CH quickly grew into a larger organization, now called Kuzamura Ubuzima (KU), or “Growing Health.” We have partnered with a local NGO, Agaseke k’Urukundo, who farms a large portion of the land surrounding the hospital. The Director General of the hospital granted us ample land to start planting our crops, in partnership with Agaseke. We selected seeds for foods with the highest nutritional value and local availability for cultivation, emphasizing dietary diversity as much as possible. For livestock, we began with pigs, who could recycle the kitchen scraps, produce manure for fertilization, and be sold for additional income—and perhaps eventually supply manure for biofuel as well. In the next few weeks, we plan to bring in dairy goats, which each produce up to 3 liters of nutritious milk, with much less upkeep than cows.

In the hospital’s on-site wood-fueled kitchen, our cook (with the assistance of patients’ families) prepares two meals per day largely from the farm yields: one meal of high-energy porridge (Sosoma, comprised of soy, sorghum, and maize), and one well-balanced lunch (including vegetables, greens, protein, starch, and fats). A typical meal includes rice or potatoes mixed with tomatoes, carrots, onions, peanut powder, and small dried fish; a green leafy vegetable; a boiled egg; an avocado, and a banana. Food staples such as rice, salt, oil, etc. are purchased from local markets.

Beneficiaries are identified by nurses and our project manager, as those with the highest degree of food scarcity. Narrowing the list of those in most need is the project’s most difficult task. We currently feed 30 pediatric patients and 40 surgery patients, and will soon include Internal Medicine and Obstetrics and Gynecology patients as well. We soon plan to conduct a baseline survey to assess the prevalence of food scarcity and malnutrition among hospitalized patients, as well as the impact of hunger upon hospital length of stay. We also plan to conduct ongoing surveys for monitoring, evaluation, and program adjustment as needed.

We have partnered with a Kigali-based NGO called Gardens For Health International (http://www.gardensforhealth.org/) as well as the Catholic University of Rwanda School of Public Health and Human Nutrition, to assist with nutrition education and teaching demonstrations, emphasizing hygienic and nutritious food preparation. In addition, BIOCOOP Rwanda (http://www.biocoop.rw/) supports our agriculture and “farm to fork” activities. We have also partnered with Veterinarians Without Borders (http://vsf-belgium.org) for technical support on best livestock practices. We hope that through these partnerships, patients and families can engage in experiential learning activities to encourage healthy eating and sustainable family farming. Ultimately, we hope to foster long-term behavior change and improved well-being overall.

While initially dependent on private donations, the ultimate goal is for surplus crop and livestock production to generate enough income to meet the costs of farm and program maintenance. Eventually, we hope the farm will be able to feed patients with minimal financial input. Until we reach this goal of self-sustainability, our operating expenses run entirely on donation.

Directions ahead

Though still in its nascency, KU has relieved the hunger of numerous patients. Children have been recovering from their illnesses and getting discharged home more quickly, and mothers have once again been able to produce breast milk. Caretakers no longer have to choose between buying medications and buying food. Families and hospital staff have been able to watch the seamless flow from cultivation, to preparation, to proportioning of whole, nutritious foods, meeting a very basic—and vital—need. Many of these successes are owed entirely to team on the ground—especially our Program Coordinator. While her skills range from orchestrating and meticulously documenting all program activities, to rearing piglets and growing mushrooms, the job is quickly growing too large for one person to manage. We are seeking more managerial support as the project continues to expand and flourish.

It was completely gratifying to watch our seedlings grow into food on patients’ plates, and to see a simple warm meal transform a listless child into a lively one. However, what would be even more gratifying would be to know that this modest project, in this one corner of the world, has sown seeds for an enduring solution to hunger in our hospital—and perhaps in other hospitals like ours.  We hope that Kuzamura Ubuzima continues to grow, flourish, and thrive—along with the patients it will feed. 

Pollution and Global Warming: Can you smell the inevitability?

by Shem Opolot

Stop smoking and you will lower your chances of getting lung cancer; drink less and more often than not, your liver will stand the test of time; practice safe sex and hopefully you won't get AIDS. In a simpler world, simple behavioral changes such as these would alleviate most of the ailments that plague our existence. But what do we do when the very air we breathe will kill us if we're exposed to it long enough? Where do we run? Air pollution is a difficult problem to solve for several reasons:

We've caught on very late in the game. In the times of the London smog, during the boom of the industrial revolution, we were none the wiser to the price we pay for "progress". All we saw were bigger engines, and faster cars; bigger buildings and huge clouds of smoke signifying the fruits of our labor as we inched towards the modern era. It has taken several years for global warming and its causes to become a mainstay in our media and research, and despite the overwhelming evidence of global warming out there, we still have several skeptics. And unfortunately, some of  these skeptics are tax payers and legislators, who are serious impediments to the mission to create policy that can protect our world.

The negative consequences of the pollution problem are experienced disproportionately around the world, hence it has been difficult to prioritize attempts to abate the issue. For example, per the National Resources Defense Council (NRDC), the United States is the largest source of global warming pollution- emitting more carbon dioxide than China, Japan, and India combined. However, the crux of extreme global warming effects are being experienced outside the borders of the United States,  like the scorching heat waves in India earlier this year. As polar bears lose their homes in  the polar regions of the planet, or people's houses get wrecked by floods in Asia, others burn fossil fuels and manufacture cars with in-built software to cheat on emissions tests (yes Volkswagen, I'm talking to you). We willfully suspend our concern for these tragedies and our roll in them only until we have to tweet #PrayForCountryX, or until we have an excuse to go serve overseas,  whenever our guilt and compassion meet  opportunity.

How can we get ahead of this trend? Who polices the police of global greenhouse gas emissions? Should some countries start demanding reparations from the developed countries that produce much more emissions? Also, have we really failed to engineer and distribute clean energy? Or are we simply complacent? Or are our hands tied by the powers that be-the large corporations with lots of money that continue to benefit from burning coal fuels and other activities that are harmful to our environment? This issue is reminiscent of the battle that raged on over the banishment of the usage of  lead in gasoline for cars in the 1980s. I hope the implementation and translation into policy of the scientific evidence available now can result in swifter action to preserve Mother Earth.

Air Pollution: Do We Have A Panacea?

by Yudong Qian

In Dr. Zhang’s lecture, he introduced the history of global air pollution in developed countries and offered solutions for the air pollution burden developing countries are suffering right now. The insight he has put into this global burden is inspiring and evokes some of my own experiences and thoughts.

When you talk about air pollution, what do you think of first? Will you come up with the picture of cities with endless obscure smog and people wearing masks? Or will you think of the related diseases such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), acute lower respiratory illness (ALRI), cerebrovascular disease (CEV), ischaemic heart disease (IHD) and lung cancer (Lelieveld, 2015)? Not surprisingly, these phenomenon and diseases are really happening in the world everyday. One week ago, the number of PM2.5 in Shenyang - a city in Northern China - broke the threshold and reached to 1400mg/m³, which resulted in the overload of patients in respiratory departments of the city hospitals. This February, a documentary called “Under the Dome” about the air pollution in China has drawn global attention. The documentary was filmed and self-financed by Chai Jing, a former China Central Television journalist, who said she felt dangerous for her kids to live in a city like Beijing with 175 days/year under pollutant air.

While China is suffering the unprecedented outdoor air pollution, people in Africa are under the exposure of indoor air pollutants. In Sudan, low respiratory infection is the top one risk factor for disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) (Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation,2010). Biomass fuel remains the primary energy supply and the indoor smoke caused by biomass burning is responsible for 2.7 percent of the global burden of disease (WHO, 2010). The distinction between China and Sudan reflects the relationship between economic development and air pollution: in middle-income economies, outdoor air pollution is the prevailing pattern while in low-income economies, indoor air pollution is the prevailing pattern.

Air pollution is no longer a new global issue, but why are the people in developing countries still suffering from it? Dr. Zhang explained this by using some examples of developed countries. The accidents happened in London and Los Angeles were the consequences of rapid industrialization. He then provided a formula for the solution in developing countries: Legislation + Technology + Enforcement == Clean Air. From this we can see the main factors preventing developing countries from getting access to clean air. To fix the air pollution problems, the first step is to enact environment protection law and enhance public dissemination. Next, for different countries there should be different strategies to tackle air pollution. From my experience, the biggest problem in China is the lack of enforcement to implement environmental protective regulations and green technologies. However, in Africa like Sudan, the imperative approach should be introducing environmental friendly fuels for the households.

1. Lelieveld, J., Evans, J. S., Fnais, M., Giannadaki, D., & Pozzer, A. (2015). The contribution of outdoor air pollution sources to premature mortality on a global scale. Nature, 525(7569), 367-371.

2. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (2010). GDB: Sudan. Retrieved from

http://www.healthdata.org/sites/default/files/files/country_profiles/GBD/ihme_gbd_country_report_sudan.pdf

3. World Health Organization (2010). Sudan: WHO statistical profile. Retrieved from

http://www.who.int/gho/countries/sdn.pdf?ua=1

Global Health Nutrition

by Hannah Meredith and Devon Paul

In Dr. Steinberg’s lecture, we heard an overview of nutrition issues on a global scale.  Interestingly, these issues ranged from overnutrition to undernutrition with both obesity and malnutrition being major causes of morbidity and mortality in the world.  With such a range of nutritional issues and they underlying causes, how can we make meaningful dietary recommendations for people? Before addressing this question, there are a number of interesting factors at play that need to be understood.

The world is currently going through a significant nutritional transition. There are 5 different patterns associated with the nutrition transition: hunter gatherer, early agriculture, end of famine, overeating and obesity-related diseases, and behavior change. Currently, many low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are transitioning from the “end of famine” pattern to the “overeating, obesity-related disease” pattern. This transition is happening as Western-styled diets infiltrate different cultures and replace the traditional diet. Couple this introduction of diet high in animal and partially hydrogenated fats and low in fiber with a more sedentary lifestyle, and the result is an obesity epidemic that is beginning to affect low- and middle-income countries. These dietary and lifestyle changes in LMICs are an effect of a recent demographic transition from a primarily rural, agrarian society to an urbanized society centered on large cities. Migrants leave behind a food safety net of family, friends, and farms for the promise of a better life in the city; however, in the poorest countries, unemployment rates are crushing, and people try to make a living on $1-2 per day.  With that money, the city workers not only have to pay for or build their own shelter, but also have to buy the food that they once grew themselves. It is both a curse and a blessing that large-scale production has decreased the price of processed food and drink. On one hand, these foods are affordable to people who do not have much income. On the other hand, these foods form an unhealthy bulge in the top of the food pyramid for many.  I have seen plenty of soda bottles and potato chip bags being consumed by children with evidence of protein malnutrition and stunting.  Given the struggle with food insecurity, economic hardship, and a ready supply of cheap junk food and empty calories, how we can make meaningful dietary recommendations for people? 

In the US, we have tackled the issue of food insecurity with a variety of piecemeal programs:  food subsidies for those living below a certain income threshold, subsidized school lunches (and sometimes breakfast and dinners), food pantries, “soup kitchens”, or community farmer’s markets that intend to provide low cost fresh fruits and vegetables in food deserts.  Yet even in our own country, we struggle to meet the nutritional needs of the most vulnerable. What should a program look like that addresses those living at risk of malnutrition? 

Demographic Transition: Aging and Migration

by Hanzhang Xu and Nan Sandi

Dr. Jessica Ho discussed the determinants (fertility, mortality, and migration) of demographic transition and its impact on global health. Here we would like to provide two examples of demographic transition: one is the aging situation in China, and the other is the migration influx in Europe.

Gray dawn: the aging crisis in China

The older adult population in China has been growing dramatically in the past few decades. In 2000, nearly 90 million adults age 65 or above were living in China, and this number increased to 202 million in 2013. The elderly population is predicted to increase to over 300 million by 2050, accounting for 30% of the population. As the elderly population increase, so as the prevalence of Non-communicable diseases (NCD) such as CVD and diabetes. In addition, the older populations are more likely to suffer from several type of NCDs and more severe complication that can be more expensive to cure.

Several factors contributed to the rapid aging population in China. First, the average life expectancy in China has been improved tremendously—from 68 in 1981 to 74 today, because of the robust economic growth over the past few decades. Second, baby boomers, who were Chinese in the 1950s and 1960s, has started to fall into the older adults category. Third, an extremely low fertility rate due to the “one child” policy further speed up the demographic transition in China.

Recently, China ended its decades-old “one child” policy so that all married couples would be allowed to have two children. Demographers argued that this decision might be a step in the right direction, but probably too little too late to make a big difference in the aging trajectory happening in China. One of the concerns is that many eligible couples would not act on it, as the cost in raising children especially in urban setting is very high in China. Even in rural China, families which have been exempt from the “one child” policy are not willing to have more children because of the costs and efforts.

Still, many citizens and social media thumb up for this announcement. This adjustment on birth restrictions might lead to a decline in the trend of birth tourism in recent years that many Chinese parents went overseas to places like Hong Kong and the U.S. to have a second child.

It might be too early to jump to the conclusion at this point. The debate over whether abandoning one-child policy will be effective to solve China’s aging crisis will be going on for years. But overall, China is a country that should be watching over the next few decades.

Is the migrant crisis an opportunity for an aging and demographic decline Europe?  

Today, the world faces the largest migrant crisis since World War II. Due to war, civil conflict, persecution, climate change, and poverty, millions of people risk their lives in the Mediterranean Sea in order to flee from their homes in the Middle East and sub-Saharan Africa to Europe. According to UNHCR (2015), 34 percent of these migrants are from Syria, 12 percent are from Afghanistan, 12 percent are from Eritrea, 5 percent are from Somalia, and 5 percent are from Nigeria.

The UN estimated that number of migrants entering Europe will continue to grow; however, the European Union (EU) hasn’t come out with the long-term solution to tackle migrant crisis yet. The EU proposed to use mandatory quotas to allocate migrants across its 28 member states. However, since there are costs (such as housing, healthcare, education, and other social welfare services) associated with accommodating migrants, some governments in the EU rejected the proposal.

            It is undeniable that hosting migrants can be costly in Europe. But, isn’t the migrants influx a good opportunity for an aging and demographic decline Europe? 

            Europe’s aging population has gradually increased, mainly due to low birthrates, high levels of young people emigration, and high life expectancies. As a result, working-age population has tremendously decreased. According to United Nations’ Population Division (2013) the populations in the Baltic countries and Bulgaria has been shrunk by more than 15 percent, Croatia by 10 percent, and Romania and Hungary by 5 percent. At the same time, the populations who are above 65 have increased by more than a third between 1990 and 2010 in the countries of Central Europe and the Baltics. The aging and demographic decline is likely to accelerate. This will harm the economy and demand more resources to accommodate aging population (such as, old age pensions and healthcare services).  Migrants come to Europe with children, skills, motivation, and innovative ideas. Therefore, it is now the time for Europe to accept migrants and turn migrant crisis into an opportunity.

Reference:

Wang, X.-Q., & Chen, P.-J. (2014). Population ageing challenges health care in China. The Lancet, 383(9920), 870. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(14)60443-8

Wu, Y., & Dang, J. (2013). China Report of The Development on Aging Cause (2013)-2013-Yearbook-SOCIAL SCIENCES ACADEMIC PRESS(CHINA). Retrieved October 20, 2015, from http://www.ssapchina.com/ssapzx/c_00000009000200010005/d_0759.htm

Smoking in developing countries

by Jihye Suk and Hanati Hailati

Smokers are great supporters of positive psychological effects of smoking. However, according to the CDC, smoking causes diseases such as lung cancer, diabetes, and erectile dysfunction on males. Smoking not only harms people with various diseases, but it will also cause 8 million deaths annually in 2030 if current trend continues [1]. What we need to focus on here is that the 8 million people are mostly from developing countries or from low-educated population. The correlation between education level and smoking in India, as Dr. So indicated in class, supports this presumption. Moreover, as he emphasized, while tobacco consumption in developed countries decreases by 0.2%, it is increasing by about 3.4% in developing countries each year.

Tobacco industry is getting smarter and more powerful based on their wealth. In contrast, our countermeasures are still stymied by the barrier of individual freedom issue. If it is truly personal choice, why does research show that developing country populations are more likely to choose smoking? Why even among developed countries, disadvantaged population is the group of main smokers?

Today, commonly utilized smoking cessation strategies are as follows: cigarette taxes, comprehensive bans on tobacco advertising and promotion, prominent warning labels, restrictions on smoking in public places, and increased access to nicotine replacement treatments.

As one of the readings by Dr. So noted, the economics of global tobacco control, written by Prabhat Jha and Frank J. Chaloupka, the threat posed by smoking to global health is extraordinary, but so is the potential for preventing millions of smoking related deaths with highly effective policies [2]. This article also states that tax increases are the single most effective intervention to reduce demand for tobacco [2]. WHO also notes that the most potent and cost-effective option for governments everywhere is the simple elevation of tobacco prices by use of consumption taxes [3]. Tobacco includes excise taxes, value added taxes (VAT) or general sales taxes and import duties.

According to the "WHO Report on the global tobacco epidemic 2015," 33 countries levy cigarette taxes that represent more than 75% of the retail price of a packet of cigarettes, but many countries have extremely low tax rates, and some countries even have no special tax on tobacco products at all [4]. Take China as an example. China has the largest smoking population in the world and bears the largest disease burden from smoking as the chart shows below. A research model in China suggests that raising cigarettes taxes so that they account for 75% of retail prices- up from 40% of the share of price in 2010- would prevent nearly 3.5 million deaths that would otherwise be caused by cigarette smoking [4]. However, levying cigarette taxes still faces lots of challenges. Recently the City of Beijing, one of top three populated city in China, just started its strictest bans on smoking in public places since this October.

Dr. So finished his lecture with suggesting our new challenge at the emerging of e-cigarette. The latest released presentation [5] by CDC indicates very few clinical trials are conducted to evaluate the impact of e-cigarette. Cultivating adolescent as a future smoker seemed to be e-cigarette industry’s main aim, but it is not yet regulated in many countries.

Source: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation

[1] World Health Organization. (2011). WHO Report on the Global Tobacco Epidemic, 2011. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2011. [accessed 2015 Nov 5]

[2] Jha, P., & Chaloupka, F. J. (2000). The Economics of Global Tobacco Control. BMJ: British Medical Journal, 321(7257), 358.

[3] World Health Organization. (2010). WHO Technical Manual on Tobacco Tax Administration. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2010.  [accessed 2015 Nov 5]

[4] World Health Organization. (2015). WHO Report on the Global Tobacco Epidemic, 2015. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2015.  [accessed 2015 Nov 5]

[5] CDC. E-cigarettes: An Emerging Public Health Challenge (10.20.2015.) by Brian King, PhD, MPH, Jonathan M. Samet, MD, MS, John Wiesman, DrPH, MPH, Matthew L. Myers, President of Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids.

“Accidents” Don’t Happen, But Preventable Injuries and Violence Do

By:

Adriana Lein

Brian Meier, MD

“Accidents happen.” We’re all likely familiar with this adage that suggests unfortunate happenings are unpredictable and unavoidable. While it may be true to some degree that tragedy strikes in unexpected ways, a closer look at the global burden of disease reveals that events such as road traffic injuries, which are significant contributors to global mortality and morbidity, are anything but unpredictable and unavoidable. In fact, all of the primary contributors to what the World Health Organization has termed Global Injury Burden follow patterns that disproportionately affect certain groups based on demographic differences, whether gender-based, grounded in socioeconomic inequality, or specific to regional and political factors. Among these contributors to Global Injury Burden are road traffic injuries, suicide, homicide and war (a breakdown shown in the below chart of World Health Organization).

Source: http://www.who.int/violence_injury_prevention/key_facts/en/

Delivering a guest lecture to the first-year Master’s in Global Health cohort at Duke University on October 20^th, 2015, Dr. Catherine Staton explained why she doesn’t like to use the word “accident” in her work. An Emergency Medicine physician and an expert on road traffic injuries, Dr. Staton has worked extensively abroad, in places including South Africa, Georgia, Armenia, and, recently, Brazil and Tanzania. According to Dr. Staton, the word “accident” implies a spontaneous and independent incident. Such levity towards serious phenomena overlooks the potential for injury and violence prevention by addressing risk factors through interventions at the community and policy levels. Dr. Staton went on to outline the clear patterns of predictability that road traffic injuries follow, a theme central to her work. Dr. Staton and her colleagues have conducted mapping of deemed road traffic “hotspots” on Brazilian highways and found that crash occurrences could be modeled after variables related to regional differences and built-environmental analyses and mainly fell into 5 different patterns. However, traffic accidents are not the only component of injury burden that could be reduced through understanding ecological determinants.

Consider interpersonal violence, a subject that receives considerable attention due to politicized discussions of mass shootings and gun control. Returning to the above example of Brazil, homicides were the leading causes of premature mortality in 2010 (reported in Years of Life Lost). As the Los Angeles Times highlighted in a recent profile, Brazil’s homicide rate actually increased between 2000-2012, despite that  "in the same period…the world overall got about 16% safer from murder, while developed countries saw a drop of 40%." The profile continued, noting that violence, not surprisingly, disproportionately affects the economically disadvantaged regions of the Northeast and its victims are overwhelming young, black males. Emphasizing the link between violence and social injustices, Christopher Mikton, a technical officer of the WHO team on Violence Prevention stated, "all else being equal, we expect that if there is a major drop in inequality, homicide rates go down."

So is there really such a thing as an “accident” when it comes to health or can the global injury burden best be understood through the application of Paul Farmer’s well-known extension of structural violence theory to health outcomes? The evidence points to the latter.

Nature Matters

By Loise Ng'ang'a and Sumedha Roy

Industrialisation, urbanisation and globalisation have brought about revolutionary advances to the human race. These advances have resulted in increased food security, reduction in poverty rates, access to better health care and availability of more domesticated land. However, these have been achieved through intense exploitation of the earth’s natural resources, which has in turn jeopardised the health of our planet and its ability to sustain healthy human life. The writing on the wall has been evident for a long time, but has only recently gained public recognition after the publication of the report by the Rockefeller Foundation–Lancet Commission on planetary health. 

Source: http://www.elementshealthspace.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/WHO-climate-change-chart.jpg

Scientists have mapped out nine planetary boundaries within which human development must occur for our continued survival on earth. The shocking revelation is that four out of the nine boundaries have already been crossed, which just reiterates that we have reached a point where the depletion of natural resources poses immeseaurable danger to human health and the future of generations to come.

Source: http://www.stockholmresilience.org/21/research/research-programmes/planetary-boundaries/planetary-boundaries/about-the-research/the-nine-planetary-boundaries.html

Dr. Subhrendu Pattanayak’s recent lecture highlighted the effect of various environmental damages and depletion of natural resources on health of the population. For example, frequent and intense forest fires started manually for clearing land for production has caused rising carbondioxide levels in the atmosphere, ultimately resulting in the infamous Indonesian haze. Such grave are the implications of this haze, that it has been shown to stunt height and lung function of children in conception or in their first few months. Breathing polluted air has also been correlated with an increased incidence of cardiovascular diseases, cancer and respiratory illnesses. According to WHO, approximately 7 million premature deaths were attributed to air pollution in 2012 alone.

Dr. Pattanayak also emphasized on the need to design and implement strategies that can ameliorate the situation, rather than simply acknowledging the problem of planetary health. Starting with a hypothesis and strategy at a smaller scale would allow testing of scalability and better utilization of resources. It is important to remember that the worst outcomes of this environmental destruction will have to be borne by the poor, as the wealthy and middle income populations have other means of escaping. This is just one of the many challenges in attracting funding and research towards a seemingly distant problem that disproportionately affects the population. He listed three main challenges that need to be adressed to protect human health against the threat posed by environmental changes. These include the lack of imagination, knowledge gap, and innovative research, all of which could be better utilized to identify the social and environmental drivers of health. Also, in order to overcome implementation failures, he suggested critically identifying how the various players in planetary health are interacting with drivers of the problem. For instance, promoting collaboration between governments, private sectors, non govermental organisations (NGOs) and the local community is absolutely fundamental for finding a solution to this omnious threat.

The fate of nature is intricately linked with ours. The state of nature, health of people, and economy of nations have always been inter-dependent, and hence there is an urgent need for all policies to take that into account. For the sake of the present and future generations, we must consciously devise strategies to conserve nature.